Strategic Plan
2026 to 2028
A plan for turning coherent system models into dependable computational practice, and for making that derivation inspectable by someone who has seen neither the code nor the author.
- Version
- 2.1, published
- Planning period
- September 2026 to August 2028
- Document class
- Governance. Not an artefact under the validation standard.
- Companions
- Unified Validation Reference v3.1, Knowledge Map, Publication Programme
- Short version
- The stable part only: mission, governing rule, invariants, falsifiers, objectives
The model is normative. The tool is derived. No rule may exist only in code.
Any behaviour a tool exhibits that its model does not specify is a determinism failure, and is evaluated as such. This rule is the boundary between building tools and automating thinking, and it applies to every executable artefact SiP produces or accredits.
1Executive overview
Systems In Practice is a research-led technology initiative concerned with how complex systems can be understood, represented, tested and translated into practical computational tools. Its work addresses a recurring failure: as the number of interacting components, states and external dependencies increases, the underlying model fragments, and each component begins to define shared terms for itself.
The strategic opportunity is not to produce more software. It is to establish a discipline in which a model is published, an implementation is derived from it, and the derivation can be inspected by someone who has seen neither the code nor the author. We call this derivation integrity. It is the distinguishing claim of the body of work and the organising principle of this plan.
Over the 2026 to 2028 period Systems In Practice will move from a research and development activity into a research, engineering and publishing organisation of deliberately modest size. Five objectives carry the plan: foundational research, derived computational architecture, applied validation, publication and knowledge transfer, and capacity with sustainability.
The initial applied domain is financial systems, specifically obligation and repayment architectures, state consistency, and computation under incomplete transaction observability. That domain is a proving ground, not the destination. A method demonstrated in one domain is a solution. The plan therefore commits to a second domain before it permits us to describe our output as a method.
Strategic outcomes by August 2028
| Outcome | What must exist |
|---|---|
| Research foundation | A versioned modelling framework and a validated specification set, each item passing the current validation standard at its publication date. |
| Derived architecture | A reference implementation in which every rule traces to a named model clause, with an automated conformance suite generated from the invariant set. |
| Applied evidence | Three evaluated financial case studies and one second-domain proof of concept, including a written finding on which principles transferred without redefinition. |
| Published body of work | Publication Programme Phases 1 to 4 complete, each item validated before release. |
| Institutional durability | A defined operating model, a measured capacity baseline, a diversified funding position and a decided institutional form. |
Accountability
Each objective carries a single accountable role. These are responsibilities rather than departments, and where one person holds several, the roles remain separately documented, because the conflict between them is real even when the person is one.
| Objective | Accountable role | Primary evidence of progress |
|---|---|---|
| O1 Foundational research | Research Lead | Tagged framework versions and validated specifications |
| O2 Derived architecture | Technical Lead | Mapping completeness and reconstructability results |
| O3 Applied validation | Programme Owner | Completed case studies against the standard template |
| O4 Publication and transfer | Research Lead | Release log and recorded instances of independent use |
| O5 Capacity and sustainability | Organisational Lead | Capacity against floor, funding concentration, decided institutional form |
2The governing standard
Mission
To advance the understanding and practical application of complex systems through structured, repeatable research models and the dependable computational tools derived from them.
Systems In Practice holds that a model and its implementation are not two artefacts but one, expressed twice. The model is normative and the tool is derived from it. Where the two disagree, the model is correct and the tool is defective.
Purpose
SiP exists to reduce the gap between systems concepts and their practical implementation. It seeks to make complex system behaviour easier to define, reason about, test, and maintain by developing methods that preserve coherence as systems evolve.
Execution is one of the ways a model is tested. A model that cannot be executed has not been fully tested, and a tool that cannot be traced back to a model has not been fully specified. SiP treats the distance between the two as the thing being reduced.
Vision
A future in which complex systems can be designed and operated using explicit, testable, and reusable models that support reliable decisions, transparent reasoning, and sustainable technological development.
In that future, the specification is the audit. A system's behaviour can be reconstructed from its published model by someone who has never seen its source, and its conformance to that model can be demonstrated rather than asserted.
The Governing Rule
The model is normative. The tool is derived. No rule may exist only in code.
Any behaviour a tool exhibits that its model does not specify is a determinism failure, and is evaluated as such. This rule is the boundary between building tools and automating thinking, and it applies to every executable artefact SiP produces or accredits.
What the governing rule binds
Correction flows model first. A defect found during execution is corrected in the model, and the tool follows. Fixing behaviour in code and leaving the model unchanged severs the derivation and is a conformance failure, not a shortcut.
Publication order. A model is published before, or with, any tool derived from it. Tools are never published ahead of their models.
Domain breadth. The method is demonstrated across more than one domain. A body of work confined to a single domain has demonstrated a solution, not a method.
3Organisational invariants
Conditions that must remain true regardless of circumstance, each with the response required when it is breached. An invariant with no breach response is a preference.
No tool is published, shared or used in delivery without a published model from which it derives.
On breach. Withdraw the tool. Publish the model. Republish. Do not document an exception.
No rule exists only in code.
On breach. Treat as a determinism failure. Correct the model first, then the implementation.
Every published artefact has passed validation against the version of the standard current on its publication date.
On breach. Unpublish, revalidate, reissue with a version note.
We do not describe our output as a method until it has been demonstrated in a second domain.
On breach. Revert all external language to solution until the second-domain evidence exists.
No substitute is produced or accredited. A substitute is any tool that decides something its model leaves undefined, whether by inference, heuristic or learned behaviour, including where the decision is accurate.
On breach. Remove the deciding behaviour, or define the decision in the model. There is no third option.
Protected research capacity does not fall below the stated floor for two consecutive quarters.
On breach. Decline or exit funded work until the floor is restored. Record the decision.
No single funder or client exceeds the stated share of annual income for more than one financial year.
On breach. Trigger a diversification plan at the next quarterly review, with a dated target.
Every strategic indicator in this plan has a determinate test.
On breach. Redefine or remove the indicator at the next quarterly review. Do not carry it forward as approximate.
The floors referenced in I6 and I7 are parameters, not judgements. They are set once, during the baseline assessment, and thereafter changed only by explicit decision at an annual review. Section 9 defines how they are set.
4Thesis, and what would falsify it
Our thesis is that model-normative development, applied under a strict validation standard, produces systems whose behaviour is reconstructable and whose correctness is demonstrable, and that this discipline transfers across domains.
A thesis that cannot fail is not a research position. Four falsifiers are defined. Each has a response that is a genuine change of direction, not a restatement.
The framework is domain specific. Tested when, after the second-domain proof of concept, transfer requires redefinition of core framework terms rather than parameterisation of existing ones.
If triggered. Stop describing the work as a general method. Reposition as a financial systems discipline and narrow the research agenda accordingly.
The specification format is insufficient for determinism. Tested when, across three published specifications, independent implementers diverge on conformance fixtures more than once.
If triggered. Halt new specifications. Revise the specification format before any further publication.
Derivation integrity does not pay for itself. Tested when derivation and conformance work consumes more engineering capacity than the baseline share agreed at the first annual review, without a measured reduction in defect rate against the pre-discipline baseline.
If triggered. Reduce the scope of mandatory derivation to a defined artefact class rather than all executable output, and record the narrowing.
The work is not transferable in practice. Tested when no external party adopts, extends, cites or independently validates any published artefact within twenty four months of the first publication release.
If triggered. Treat as a distribution failure first and a substance failure second. Reallocate from production to engagement for one cycle, then reassess.
Early warning is not falsification. F4 runs on a twenty four month clock from the first published item, which places its test at the August 2028 review. The August 2027 review applies a separate early-warning threshold: if recorded independent use stands at zero, the F4 response is brought forward by one cycle as a precaution. Bringing a response forward is a management decision. Declaring the falsifier triggered before its clock has run is not.
Recording that a falsifier was tested and not triggered is itself a research output. Recording that one was triggered, and acting on it, is a stronger one.
5Definitions: units of output
A plan that counts its outputs must first define them, and must define how the counted units relate to one another.
| Unit | Definition | Counts toward |
|---|---|---|
| Specification | A versioned document defining a bounded system: states, transitions, invariants, failure paths and boundary conditions. Passes validation levels L1 to L13. | Objective 1 |
| Executable artefact | An implementation belonging to exactly one approved class: Executor, Instrument or Validator. Passes L14 derivation integrity and L15 conformance expressibility. | Objective 2 |
| Case study | A documented application of a specification to a real problem, recording baseline, method, result, limitation and negative findings. | Objective 3 |
| Publication | A validated public artefact drawn from the Publication Programme sequence. | Objective 4 |
| Canonical work | A synthesis across multiple specifications and case studies, corresponding to Layer 8 of the Knowledge Map. | Objective 4 |
Relationship between the units. Specification and publication are different properties of a document, not different documents. A publication is any validated item released from the Publication Programme; it may present a specification, a case study, a synthesis, or expository work that supports one of those. A specification is the subset of that output which defines a bounded system in full and therefore passes L1 to L13. The Objective 1 target of eight specifications is a quality floor within the Objective 4 target of twenty one published items, not an additional workload alongside it.
The three executable classes are as defined in the Unified Validation Reference. An Executor implements a published model faithfully. An Instrument measures without deciding. A Validator checks an artefact against a model's invariants. Anything that decides what the model leaves undefined is a substitute, and is prohibited under I5.
6Strategic context and the honest baseline
The problem
Complex systems are built from domain requirements, software components, operational rules and external integrations. Each component can be locally correct while the system as a whole develops inconsistencies in how states, transitions, obligations and dependencies are interpreted.
A financial obligation may be represented differently by a repayment scheduler, an accounting component and a servicing integration. If each independently defines what an outstanding balance means, the system produces contradictory results while every component appears to function. The research problem is to establish shared semantics and computational structures that prevent divergence, and to make the absence of divergence demonstrable rather than assumed.
The problem is not confined to finance. It appears in distributed systems, workflow engines, infrastructure management and health information systems.
What is established, and what is not
This plan is published with its unknowns intact. A body of work whose central claim is that difficult conditions should be named rather than omitted cannot present its own position as more settled than it is.
Established. A substantial body of conceptual work exists, organised across the Knowledge Map, the Series Catalogue and a seven-phase Publication Programme. A validation standard exists at version 3.1, including levels L14 and L15 governing executable artefacts. Domain depth exists in obligation and repayment systems and in state consistency under incomplete observability.
To be established by 31 December 2026. Capacity and available hours; legal structure; committed income; the condition of existing technical assets; active partnership terms; the intellectual property position on prior work; and the defect and rework baseline against which F3 will be measured.
The baseline assessment is a dated deliverable of Phase 1, not an assumption the plan may keep deferring. Every parameter marked as set at baseline in this document is listed in its output.
Opportunities
Demand for explainable and auditable computational decisions is rising, driven partly by regulation and partly by the growth of AI-assisted development, which increases the volume of code whose provenance is unclear. A discipline that makes derivation inspectable is better positioned as that volume grows, not worse.
Our differentiator is the relationship between meaning and implementation, not feature count. Our strongest immediate advantage is access to genuinely demanding financial problems as a proving ground.
Constraints
The binding constraint is capacity, and it is small. Every other constraint is downstream of it: the cost of infrastructure, the difficulty of cross-domain validation, and the risk of portfolio expansion before the architecture is mature.
There is a second constraint specific to us. The validation standard is strict by design. Applied faithfully, it will reject or hold work that a less disciplined organisation would publish. That is the intended effect, but it caps throughput. The plan therefore states a realistic publication rate rather than one borrowed from organisations that publish without a gate. Section 10 does this.
7True north and success criteria
To establish and demonstrate a repeatable approach for translating complex system models into computational implementations that preserve defined meaning, invariants and state consistency as systems evolve, and to make that preservation demonstrable to a reader who has seen only the model.
Each project need not use the same technology or domain model. Each must contribute to the shared body of knowledge. A model or implementation demonstrates the following, and each is testable rather than aspirational.
| Quality | Test |
|---|---|
| Explicit semantics | Entities, states, transitions and relationships are named in the specification. |
| Consistency | Two components sharing a concept resolve it to the same model clause. |
| Invariant preservation | Each invariant has a corresponding executable assertion. |
| Repeatability | Identical inputs produce identical model behaviour across independent runs. |
| Traceability | Each state change is explainable by a named rule and a recorded observation. |
| Extensibility | A new component can be added without reinterpreting an existing definition. |
| Boundary awareness | The specification names where it does not apply and what it assumes. |
| Reconstructability | A reader with the model and no access to the implementation can predict its behaviour. |
The final row is the operational form of the governing rule and the primary criterion by which L14 is judged. These criteria are converted into the standard specification template during Phase 2.
8Strategic objectives
Objective 1: Advance foundational systems research
Purpose. To develop a coherent body of research defining how complex systems are modelled, how states and transitions are represented, and how the correctness and applicability of those models are evaluated.
1.1 Establish the formal modelling framework. A shared conceptual framework covering boundaries, entities, state variables, transitions, dependencies, invariants, observations, and the relationship between conceptual and computational representation. Priorities: a terminology document with one definition per term and no synonyms; a standard specification format; criteria for identifying relevant states; methods for representing transitions and constraints; treatment of incomplete, delayed and conflicting observation; a versioning and review process for definitions.
1.2 Research state consistency and invariants. How a system preserves defined conditions across transitions, including under asynchrony and missing history. What constitutes authoritative state; how derived state is distinguished from observed state; which invariants must hold; how divergence between component representations is detected; under what conditions differing observations converge.
1.3 Maintain the research evidence repository. Research questions, hypotheses, model versions, experiments, results, negative findings and decisions, with each substantial claim linked to its supporting evidence and assumptions. Negative findings are recorded with the same weight as positive ones, because F1 to F4 cannot be evaluated without them.
| Indicator | Determinate test | Aug 2027 | Aug 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Framework version | Framework document exists at a tagged version in the repository | v1 tagged | v2 tagged, revised against case study findings |
| Specifications | Documents meeting the Section 5 definition and passing L1 to L13 | 4 | 8 cumulative |
| Terminology integrity | Count of terms with more than one definition across published specifications | 0 | 0 |
| Review process | Every specification carries a recorded reviewer and validation verdict | Established | Applied to all outputs without exception |
| Negative findings | Recorded experiments whose hypothesis was not supported | At least 2 | At least 5 cumulative |
The negative findings indicator is deliberate. A research programme reporting no failed hypotheses over two years is not reporting.
Objective 2: Build derived computational architecture
Purpose. To translate research into a technical foundation reusable across applications, in which no component may redefine the underlying model.
2.1 Canonical model and representation layer. Shared concepts represented through explicit contracts rather than duplicated across components. Domain semantics separated from storage, interface, integration and infrastructure. Initial work: canonical state representation, transition contracts, invariant validation mechanisms, model versioning, and interfaces for component-specific projections.
2.2 Reference implementation and conformance suite. The reference implementation demonstrates the principles in software. It is not a universal platform and will not be positioned as a product. The conformance suite is generated from the invariant set rather than written alongside it, which is the practical expression of L15: each invariant becomes an assertion, each edge case a fixture with a determinate expected outcome, each infeasible configuration a startup check.
2.3 Derivation integrity in practice. Every executable artefact carries a clause-level mapping table linking each implemented rule to a named model clause, and each exposed configuration value to a model parameter. An implementation exposing a setting the model does not define has reintroduced operator judgement below the level of the model. That is a determinism failure expressed in a different medium, and it is treated as one.
2.4 Architectural governance. Material decisions recorded as Architecture Decision Records. Changes to shared model semantics require review of the effect on existing components, tests and research assumptions, and are made in the model before the code.
| Indicator | Determinate test | Target |
|---|---|---|
| Canonical model | Every designated reference component resolves shared concepts to the canonical definition | No exceptions |
| Reference implementation | A tagged release with installation and usage documentation | Stable research release |
| Derivation completeness | Percentage of implemented rules with a named model clause in the mapping table | 100 |
| Undefined configuration | Count of exposed configuration values with no corresponding model parameter | 0 |
| Conformance coverage | Percentage of stated invariants with a corresponding executable assertion | 100 |
| Reconstructability | A reviewer with the model and no code access predicts behaviour on a held-out fixture set | Passed at each release gate |
| Reproducibility | A new contributor reproduces the reference environment from documented steps, timed | Under one working day |
The reconstructability test is the one that matters. It is the only indicator that directly tests the governing rule, and a failure on it is a strategic failure rather than an engineering defect.
Objective 3: Validate through applied systems
Purpose. To demonstrate that the models solve consequential problems, and to identify the conditions under which they are insufficient.
3.1 Financial systems as the initial testbed. Deterministic obligation construction, repayment schedules, state transitions, reconciliation, and convergence under incomplete transaction observability. Work is structured so that findings are separable from the particular product in which they arise.
3.2 Standard case study method. Each case study documents problem, boundary, assumptions, baseline, model, implementation, evaluation criteria, results, limitations and lessons. It distinguishes a model that works in a controlled example from one validated under operational conditions, and it records unsuccessful approaches.
3.3 Second domain. During year two we assess one additional domain for transferability. Candidates: workflow systems, distributed state management, infrastructure operations. Selection depends on partner access, research relevance, data availability and evaluability. We will not build a second full product before the research case is established. This work is the test for F1. It is not optional and cannot be deferred into the following cycle without breaching I4.
| Indicator | Determinate test | Target |
|---|---|---|
| Financial case studies | Completed against the 3.2 template, with recorded evaluation | 3 by Aug 2028 |
| Cross-domain proof of concept | Completed, with a written finding naming which principles transferred unchanged, which required parameterisation, and which required redefinition | 1 by Jun 2028 |
| Boundary catalogue | A maintained register of model limitations, one entry per identified boundary condition | Maintained continuously |
| Measured improvement | At least one case study shows improvement against a defined pre-existing baseline on a stated measure | 1 by Aug 2027 |
Objective 4: Publish and transfer knowledge
Purpose. To move the body of work into use, and to expose it to criticism that internal review cannot provide.
4.1 Execute the Publication Programme. A sequenced seven-phase programme and Series Catalogue already exist. Section 10 states the committed sequence and rate.
4.2 Targeted partnerships. Universities, independent researchers, financial technology organisations and enterprise practitioners whose problems align with the agenda. Partnerships are assessed on research relevance, access to real problems, mutual contribution, intellectual property terms and transferability of the resulting knowledge.
4.3 External identity grounded in artefacts. Communications describe specific problems and published artefacts. Claims about impact are made only where an external party has used or validated the work.
| Indicator | Determinate test | Aug 2027 | Aug 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Published items | Items released from the Publication Programme, each validated before release | 11 (Phases 1 and 2) | 21 cumulative (Phases 1 to 4) |
| Validation compliance | Published items that passed validation before release | 100 per cent | 100 per cent |
| External review | Specifications reviewed by a named reviewer outside the organisation | 1 | 3 cumulative |
| Independent use | Instances of an external party adopting, extending or independently validating an artefact, recorded with evidence | 1 | 3 cumulative |
| Partnerships | Collaborations with a written scope and a defined output | 2 active | 4 cumulative |
Independent use is the F4 indicator. A reading of zero at the August 2027 review brings the F4 response forward by one cycle under the early-warning rule. The falsifier itself is tested at August 2028.
Objective 5: Build capacity, governance and sustainability
Purpose. To sustain rigorous research and dependable engineering without dependence on a single project, funder or person.
5.1 Operating structure. Four functions: Research, Engineering, Applied Programmes, and Operations and Partnerships. These are responsibilities, not departments. Where one person holds several, the allocation is documented so that decision authority remains unambiguous.
5.2 Research and technical governance. A research review process, architectural review, documented contribution standards and named ownership of shared models. Research findings and implementation decisions affecting the same concepts are reviewed together.
5.3 Capability and continuity. Priority capabilities: systems research, formal methods, software architecture, domain modelling and technical writing. Recruitment is phased against funding. Continuity is addressed through documentation and review rather than through headcount we do not have. Key person risk is not mitigated by a talent pipeline that does not yet exist; it is mitigated by making the work reconstructable, which is the same property the governing rule requires.
5.4 Infrastructure. Version control, automated testing, access management, backups, documentation and security controls. Partner and financial data handled under documented access, retention and privacy requirements.
5.5 Diversified funding. Research grants, philanthropic support, strategic partnerships, commissioned research, consulting, and mission-aligned licensing or service revenue. The mix depends on legal structure, eligibility and maturity. Funding that supports foundational research is accounted separately from revenue generated by applied services.
5.6 Financial governance. Cost baseline, annual budget, cash flow forecast, approval controls and reporting in year one. A reserve policy appropriate to the legal structure, with a stated target level of unrestricted reserves.
5.7 Institutional form. A decision on the structure for research and commercial activity, covering governance, intellectual property ownership, publication policy and the relationship between research and delivery. No structure is assumed. Recommendation by June 2027, decision by December 2027.
5.8 Mission protection. Funded work is accepted only where it advances the research agenda, produces applied evidence, generates sustainable resources or builds strategic capability. Work failing all four is declined. I6 makes this enforceable rather than advisory.
9The capacity model
Capacity is the binding constraint, and this plan measures it directly rather than dividing an unmeasured base into shares. A percentage split of an unknown total carries no information and cannot be breached, which means over-commitment cannot be detected.
- At baseline, record total available capacity in person-days per week, by named person, distinguishing committed delivery time from discretionary time. This is the single most important number in the plan.
- Set the protected research floor referenced in I6 as an absolute quantity of person-days per week, not a percentage. A floor expressed as a percentage falls as total capacity falls, which is precisely when protection is needed.
- Set the funder concentration limit referenced in I7 as a percentage of annual income, with a stated figure.
- Define the minimum viable week: the smallest set of activities that must occur every week for the plan to remain live. Proposed: one specification advanced, one conformance check run, one publication item progressed. If a week passes without it, that is recorded. Three consecutive misses trigger a scope review, not an apology.
- Express the indicative allocation as ratios against measured capacity, reviewed quarterly.
| Function | Indicative share | Note |
|---|---|---|
| Research | 30 | Subject to the I6 floor, which takes precedence |
| Engineering | 30 | Includes derivation and conformance work measured for F3 |
| Applied validation | 15 | Rises in phases containing a case study completion |
| Operations and resilience | 15 | Includes governance, finance and infrastructure |
| Partnerships and knowledge | 10 | Rises for one cycle if the F4 early-warning rule applies |
The shares are indicative. The floor is binding. Where they conflict, the floor wins.
10Publication throughput and programme alignment
The Publication Programme defines seven phases. The Series Catalogue defines three series and a highest-value publication sequence. The Knowledge Map defines eight layers. This section commits to a rate consistent with all three and with the capacity constraint above.
| Period | Programme phases | Items | Implied rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2026 to Aug 2027 | Phase 1, Foundations of Obligation Systems. Phase 2, Instalment and Commitment Systems. | 11 | Roughly one per five weeks |
| Sep 2027 to Aug 2028 | Phase 3, Computation Under Incomplete Information. Phase 4, State-Based Business Systems. | 10 | Roughly one per five weeks |
| Beyond the plan | Phases 5 to 8: operational decision systems, enterprise theory, research papers and canonical works | 17 | Next cycle |
Throughput and the gate. Each item passes validation before release. The standard rejects work that a less disciplined process would publish, so the rate above assumes a rejection and rework allowance. The planning assumption is that roughly one item in four requires a revision cycle before it clears. If the observed rejection rate exceeds one in two over any quarter, the constraint is the drafting process rather than the standard, and the response is to revise the drafting template rather than to relax the gate. Relaxing the gate breaches I3.
Canonical works. The four canonical works in Knowledge Map Layer 8 are syntheses. Under invariant PI4 of the Publication Programme, none may be drafted until every input item is published, and the input sets for all four include items in Phases 6 and 7. No canonical work is therefore drafted within this plan period. What this period delivers is the input set: by August 2028 the items on which K1 and K2 depend are largely published, and the two syntheses become writable in the next cycle. Publishing a synthesis before its inputs would invert the derivation the whole standard is built on, and committing to draft one early would do the same by a slower route.
11Theory of change
| Stage | Activity | What must be true to proceed |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Identify a consequential systems problem and bound it | The problem is stated, not implied, and the boundary is testable |
| 2 | Develop the explicit model: states, transitions, invariants, assumptions | The model passes L1 to L13 |
| 3 | Derive computational structures: implementation, contracts, conformance | Every rule maps to a clause, and L14 and L15 pass |
| 4 | Test through applied systems | The evaluation criteria were defined before the result was known |
| 5 | Refine, publish, enable reuse | The finding is separable from the instance that produced it |
The feedback loop is the mechanism, not an exception to it. Applied failure reveals weakness in the model. New research changes the implementation. Correction always flows model first.
12Readiness stages
A staged assessment determines when an idea, model or opportunity justifies further investment.
| Stage | Question | Advance when |
|---|---|---|
| Conceptual exploration | Is the problem clearly defined, and is a new model justified? | The problem statement passes L2 |
| Proof of concept | Can the model represent the problem within its constraints? | A specification draft exists and is internally consistent |
| Formal evaluation | Does the model hold under test, including edge cases and failure paths? | L6 to L9 pass and conformance checks are expressible |
| Applied implementation | Can it be integrated into a realistic system at acceptable cost? | L10 passes and the mapping table is complete |
| Transfer and scale | Can it be reused elsewhere, and where does it stop working? | L12 passes and boundary conditions are documented |
At each stage the decision is advance, refine, pause or discontinue. Discontinue is a legitimate and expected outcome, and the reason is recorded.
13Two-year roadmap
September 2026 is the operational start. Each gate carries a pass condition, a hold condition and a stop condition, so that a gate can halt work rather than only pose a question.
How a hold behaves. A hold does not freeze the organisation. It suspends new external commitments and new publication releases while permitting work already in progress to continue. The next phase may begin under a hold, but no deliverable of that phase may be released until the hold clears. This matters most at Gate 1, whose stop date falls inside Phase 2.
Phase 1: Establish the foundation, September to December 2026
| Workstream | Deliverables |
|---|---|
| Strategy and governance | Approve the plan, define leadership responsibilities, establish quarterly review |
| Baseline | Complete the baseline assessment and set the I6 and I7 parameters |
| Research | Inventory existing models, fix the research agenda, issue terminology and specification templates |
| Engineering | Audit existing code, identify rules that exist only in code, produce the remediation list |
| Applied | Select the first financial case studies and define evaluation criteria before work begins |
| Publication | Begin Programme Phase 1 |
| Operations | Budget baseline, risk register, document repository, contribution policy |
Pass. Baseline complete, parameters set, agenda fixed, first publication item validated.
Hold. Baseline incomplete but capacity measured. Phase 2 research may begin. No new publication release and no new external commitment until the hold clears.
Stop. No measured capacity by 31 March 2027. The plan is rescoped to a single objective before any further commitment, and Phase 2 deliverables are suspended.
Phase 2: Consolidate research and architecture, January to June 2027
| Workstream | Deliverables |
|---|---|
| Research | Framework v1 tagged; initial state and invariant specifications complete |
| Engineering | Canonical model prototype; conformance suite generated from the invariant set |
| Applied | First case study complete and evaluated; second begun |
| Publication | Programme Phase 1 complete |
| People | Contributor onboarding and research review in use |
| Finance | Funding pipeline and multi-year scenarios |
Pass. The reference architecture preserves the model across selected components, and the reconstructability test passes on a held-out fixture set.
Hold. Architecture works but the mapping table is partial. Complete the mapping before new components are added.
Stop. Rules are found that exist only in code and cannot be lifted into the model. Halt implementation work and return to specification.
Phase 3: Validate and extend, July to December 2027
| Workstream | Deliverables |
|---|---|
| Research | Framework refined from case study findings |
| Engineering | Documented research release; expanded conformance coverage |
| Applied | Second case study complete; third begun |
| Publication | Programme Phase 2 complete; first external review commissioned |
| Partnerships | Second-domain candidates assessed; collaborations formalised |
| Institutional | Institutional form decision taken |
Pass. At least one case study shows measured improvement against a baseline, and recorded independent use stands above zero.
Hold. Improvement demonstrated but no external use. Apply the F4 early-warning response for one cycle.
Stop. No measured improvement across two completed case studies. Return to Objective 1 and revise the framework before further applied work.
Phase 4: Demonstrate transferability, January to June 2028
| Workstream | Deliverables |
|---|---|
| Research | Framework v2; cross-case synthesis |
| Engineering | Extensibility, documentation and reliability of reusable components |
| Applied | Third financial case study; second-domain proof of concept |
| Publication | Programme Phases 3 and 4 complete; canonical work input sets verified against the published register |
| Partnerships | External expert review and collaborative evaluation |
Pass. The second-domain work transfers with parameterisation only, and F1 is not triggered.
Hold. Transfer requires adaptation short of redefinition. Document the adaptation as a boundary condition.
Stop. F1 triggered. Section 4 governs, and the next cycle is planned as a financial systems discipline.
Phase 5: Institutionalise and plan the next cycle, July to August 2028
Complete the two-year evaluation, publish the impact and learning report, record which falsifiers were tested and with what result, update the research roadmap, and approve the next cycle. The review determines which research streams continue, which technical assets require long-term stewardship, and which applied opportunities justify further investment.
14Operating model and decision rules
Quarterly cycles. Each quarter identifies a limited number of priorities with named owners, dependencies and the evidence required for completion. A well-designed experiment that establishes a limitation is a successful outcome and is recorded as one.
Decision rules for new work
- Does it address a consequential systems problem within the agenda?
- Will it produce transferable knowledge, reusable architecture or applied evidence?
- Are we positioned and resourced to do it, measured against capacity rather than estimated?
- Are assumptions, risks and evaluation criteria defined before work starts?
- Can it be sustained without breaching I6?
- Does it create architectural or institutional dependencies disproportionate to its value?
A no to question 3 or 5 is decisive. The others are weighed.
Governance
The Research Lead owns the coherence of the research agenda. Technical leadership owns architectural integrity and derivation discipline. Programme owners own applied delivery and evaluation. Organisational leadership owns finance, partnerships, risk and alignment.
15Evaluation, learning and accountability
| Dimension | Assessed by |
|---|---|
| Research quality | Clarity of hypotheses, method, review, reproducibility |
| Model coherence | Consistency of definitions, transitions, invariants and component representations |
| Derivation integrity | Mapping completeness, undefined configuration count, reconstructability results |
| Technical reliability | Conformance results, defects, regression performance, release readiness |
| Applied value | Measured improvement against a defined baseline |
| Transferability | Reuse of principles or components across contexts |
| Knowledge contribution | Publications, external review, independent use |
| Organisational health | Capacity against floor, funding concentration, workload, governance |
Learning cycle. Research and engineering conduct a joint synthesis review each quarter, identifying findings that require changes to models, architecture, priorities or assumptions. Decisions are recorded, including why evidence was accepted, rejected or judged insufficient. The status of F1 to F4 is reviewed at each annual review and reported explicitly, including where the answer is not yet testable.
16Financial strategy
The figures in this plan are planning parameters, not statements of current position. They become commitments once the baseline assessment sets them.
Priorities. Balance foundational research funding against applied revenue and partnerships, avoiding a position in which delivery obligations consume all capacity. I6 is the enforcement mechanism.
Sustainability goals by August 2028. An approved multi-year budget, a diversified funding pipeline, documented financial controls, a reserve policy, and a known full cost of maintaining core research and technical infrastructure. Revenue-generating activity is priced for full cost recovery, including research supervision, technical maintenance, administration and long-term support.
Scenarios. Three are maintained: constrained, preserving essential research and infrastructure only; baseline, supporting the approved roadmap; growth, enabling additional capacity and applied programmes. Expansion occurs only when both funding and operational capacity support it. The constrained scenario is written first, because it is the one most likely to be needed.
17Risk register
| Risk | Consequence | Mitigation |
|---|---|---|
| Research scope expands too quickly | Fragmented portfolio, insufficient depth | Fixed agenda, stage gates with stop conditions |
| Conceptual and software models diverge | Inconsistent behaviour, technical debt | Canonical model, mapping tables, conformance suite, model-first correction |
| The standard blocks throughput | The body of work stalls behind its own gate | Measured rejection rate, drafting template revision, never gate relaxation |
| Key person dependency | Loss of critical knowledge and capacity | Reconstructability as a release criterion, documented decisions, recorded rationale |
| The method proves domain specific | The general claim fails | F1 defined, tested in Phase 4, with a stated repositioning response |
| No external uptake | Work is transferable in theory only | F4 defined, with an early-warning threshold applied at August 2027 |
| Derivation discipline costs more than it saves | Effort without return | F3 defined against a measured pre-discipline defect baseline |
| Funding concentration | Interrupted research, unsustainable commitments | I7, with a stated limit and a triggered diversification plan |
| Premature commercialisation | Research displaced by delivery | I6, mission-alignment criteria, decisive no on question 5 |
| Security or data governance failure | Harm to partners and trust | Access controls, data minimisation, security review, incident procedure |
| Intellectual property ambiguity | Disputes or restrictions on future research | Written agreements, contribution policy, legal review, position established at baseline |
The register is reviewed quarterly and whenever a new project, partnership or technical dependency is introduced.
18Strategic scorecard
| Outcome | August 2028 target | Test |
|---|---|---|
| Foundational research | Framework v2 tagged; 8 specifications | Repository tags and validation verdicts |
| Derived architecture | Reference implementation with complete mapping | Derivation completeness at 100 per cent; undefined configuration at zero |
| Reconstructability | Model-only behaviour prediction passes at every release gate | Held-out fixture results |
| Applied validation | 3 financial case studies, 1 cross-domain proof of concept | Completed against the standard template |
| Published body of work | Programme Phases 1 to 4 complete, 21 items | Release log, all validated pre-release |
| Independent use | 3 recorded instances | Evidence of external adoption, extension or validation |
| Partnerships | 4 collaborations with written scope and defined output | Signed scopes |
| Governance | Quarterly reviews, annual review, recorded decisions | Meeting and decision records |
| Sustainability | Approved multi-year budget, diversified pipeline, reserve policy, decided institutional form | Leadership approval records |
| Falsifier discipline | F1 to F4 status reported at both annual reviews | Review minutes |
The indicators measure progress, not output volume. A smaller number of rigorous, reusable contributions is worth more than a larger number of disconnected ones.
19Open conditions
Conditions within this plan's scope for which behaviour is not yet defined, or for which behaviour is defined but the judgement behind it has not been made. Publishing them is the same discipline the standard requires of every artefact: a document that appears complete because the difficult conditions were omitted is worth less than one that names them.
Capacity is unmeasured. No headcount or available hours are established, so every workload commitment in this plan is unverified.
Resolves at. Baseline assessment, 31 December 2026.
The I6 floor and I7 limit are unset. Both invariants are enforceable in structure but not yet in value.
Resolves at. Baseline assessment, then annual review only.
The F3 defect baseline does not exist. Without a pre-discipline defect rate, the cost and benefit of derivation integrity cannot be tested.
Resolves at. First annual review, August 2027.
The second domain is unselected. Selection depends on partner access that is not yet secured, and F1 cannot be tested without it.
Resolves at. Gate 3, December 2027.
Institutional form is undecided. Legal, tax and funding advice has not been taken, and intellectual property ownership depends on it.
Resolves at. Recommendation June 2027, decision December 2027.
Publication rate is an assumption. The one in four rework assumption is unvalidated against actual validation outcomes.
Resolves at. Reviewed each quarter from Gate 1.
Accreditation of third-party artefacts. The governing rule states it applies to artefacts we accredit, but no accreditation process exists.
Resolves at. Deferred to the next cycle unless a partner requests it sooner.
Effect of a tightened standard on published work. I3 fixes validation to the standard current at publication, so a later level such as L14 or L15 does not retrospectively invalidate earlier work. Whether, and when, earlier work is revalidated is undecided.
Resolves at. First annual review, August 2027.
20Looking ahead
By August 2028 we should be able to demonstrate a progression from foundational research to validated computational practice. The value of the work will rest on the ability to define hard systems problems precisely, model them coherently, derive dependable implementations from those models, and produce evidence about where the approach works and where it stops.
The next cycle depends on what the research establishes and on which falsifiers were triggered. We may deepen the financial systems work, expand into further domains, mature the reusable platform, or establish institutional research partnerships. Those decisions will follow the evidence.
A note on this document's status. This is a governance document, not an artefact under the Systems In Practice validation standard. It defines no bounded system and specifies no state model, and it is therefore exempt from the thirteen-level structural evaluation by class rather than by concession. It is nonetheless written to the publishing standard, and its indicators are held to the determinism requirement the standard applies elsewhere.